Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 8.965441e-01 1.128419 1.386237 1.691240 2.039307 2.421371 2.869656
2025-06-22 5.897470e-01 0.889554 1.261616 1.743920 2.339441 3.038268 3.907683
2025-06-29 3.845636e-01 0.703206 1.144705 1.767096 2.588944 3.606393 4.929979
2025-07-06 2.356913e-01 0.537377 1.007877 1.728132 2.739707 4.051873 5.823792
2025-07-13 1.523265e-01 0.436416 0.932982 1.750614 2.959421 4.586753 6.848298
2025-07-20 9.628152e-02 0.355708 0.865695 1.765608 3.158928 5.095993 7.853941
2025-07-27 5.375006e-02 0.274979 0.773720 1.721482 3.259321 5.465808 8.680903
2025-08-03 2.787507e-02 0.212149 0.694128 1.679817 3.351245 5.819113 9.489695
2025-08-10 1.478465e-02 0.173187 0.650100 1.689686 3.518036 6.280529 10.456408
2025-08-17 5.772023e-03 0.130863 0.581672 1.640517 3.580186 6.585122 11.206601
2025-08-24 2.939051e-03 0.116132 0.577521 1.713760 3.847519 7.202729 12.415421
2025-08-31 8.828915e-04 0.093883 0.542933 1.718278 3.994647 7.639672 13.372082
2025-09-07 3.562111e-04 0.087920 0.557713 1.832270 4.344669 8.408841 14.843861
2025-09-14 5.819390e-05 0.077126 0.552198 1.900844 4.617622 9.067178 16.170146
2025-09-21 3.925906e-08 0.064010 0.531731 1.932080 4.823653 9.625740 17.361292
2025-09-28 NaN 0.047268 0.485324 1.893986 4.897334 9.973791 18.244911
2025-10-05 NaN 0.038342 0.466567 1.919633 5.090429 10.517658 19.431469
2025-10-12 NaN 0.030421 0.445967 1.936477 5.265536 11.034701 20.584678
2025-10-19 NaN 0.020908 0.404529 1.889894 5.311698 11.338368 21.416245
2025-10-26 NaN 0.013855 0.366985 1.845684 5.357396 11.639739 22.247184
2025-11-02 NaN 0.010192 0.349582 1.856322 5.514072 12.130564 23.378361
2025-11-09 NaN 0.005990 0.314060 1.803920 5.534752 12.388205 24.148379
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005203 0.319237 1.882081 5.835526 13.134041 25.695462